HONG KONG (BLOOMBERG) – Beijing’s sweeping crackdowns of its technology and private education sectors has unleashed shockwaves across global markets, erasing US$769 billion (S$1.04 trillion) in value from United States-listed Chinese stocks over the course of just five months.
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index – which tracks 98 of China’s biggest firms listed in the US – plunged 7 per cent on Monday (July 26) after regulators in China unveiled an overhaul of its tuition industry which bans firms that teach school subjects from making profits, raising capital or going public. That adds to Friday’s 8.5 per cent drop, bringing the gauge’s two-day decline to 15 per cent, its biggest since 2008.
“The latest events arguably highlight that the authorities are more willing to upset investors in pursuit of their broader political goals now than they were a few years ago,” wrote Capital Economics senior markets economist Oliver Jones, in a note to clients.
“It is difficult to say precisely what will happen next on this front, but on balance it seems like the downside risks to equities have increased,” he said.
Some large investors have already started to unload their shares. Cathie Wood’s flagship Ark Innovation ETF cut its holdings of China stocks to less than 0.5 per cent this month from a high of 8 per cent in February. The fund completely exited its position in tech giant Baidu and has just 134 shares of Tencent Holdings. Its only other position, Chinese property site KE Holdings, has dropped 60 per cent so far this year.
TAL Education Group, New Oriental Education & Technology Group and Gaotu Techedu, some of China’s largest education companies, all fell at least 26 per cent each Monday, adding to their record declines from Friday.
The trio has seen their shares stuck in an extended plunge since the middle of February, bringing their average loss for the year to 93 per cent.
They are not alone either. In total, more than US$126 billion in market capitalisation has been erased from Chinese education stocks traded in the US, China and Hong Kong this year.
China’s new policy “makes these stocks virtually un-investable”, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co analyst D. S. Kim. The “worst-case became a reality,” he added.
While the pain has been felt the most by education and tech stocks, other sectors were also under pressure.
Property management stocks traded in Hong Kong tumbled on Monday after regulators said they were aiming to “notably improve order” in the market. Meanwhile, food-delivery giant Meituan saw its shares plunge by a record 14 per cent as the authorities in Beijing issued a notice that online food platforms must, among other things, respect the rights of delivery staff and ensure workers earn at least the local minimum income.
This comes as investors also grapple with the looming threat that the US Securities and Exchange Commission may force delistings of Chinese companies that do not comply with a Trump-era law requiring them to disclose financial information to regulators.
“It is challenging for us to quantify the overall risks at this point, but it is clear that we are entering an uncharted territory with substantial moving parts,” said Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang.
